Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.116875 0.125418 0.134268 0.144129 0.154814 0.166051 0.178772
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.100164 0.112334 0.125580 0.141097 0.158812 0.178449 0.201922
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.093072 0.107559 0.123868 0.143646 0.167063 0.193998 0.227464
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.085221 0.100852 0.118924 0.141457 0.168926 0.201488 0.243246
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.079340 0.095822 0.115321 0.140224 0.171366 0.209265 0.259245
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.073237 0.090015 0.110263 0.136664 0.170422 0.212464 0.269291
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.068831 0.085967 0.107028 0.135022 0.171561 0.218054 0.282363
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.065872 0.083522 0.105590 0.135459 0.175216 0.226853 0.299875
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.062104 0.079807 0.102282 0.133199 0.175081 0.230492 0.310439
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.059305 0.077192 0.100235 0.132431 0.176788 0.236535 0.324432
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.058682 0.077397 0.101874 0.136632 0.185371 0.252261 0.352704
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.056266 0.075061 0.099964 0.135827 0.186893 0.258129 0.367038
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.053846 0.072679 0.097972 0.134929 0.188398 0.264266 0.382458
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.050946 0.069520 0.094780 0.132192 0.187133 0.266351 0.391975
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.049946 0.068959 0.095167 0.134555 0.193344 0.279600 0.419063
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.047633 0.066428 0.092635 0.132522 0.192888 0.282803 0.430651
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.045753 0.064434 0.090780 0.131376 0.193667 0.287839 0.445299
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.043364 0.061603 0.087587 0.128069 0.190951 0.287297 0.450835
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.041635 0.059673 0.085636 0.126542 0.190889 0.290842 0.463157
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.040545 0.058646 0.084976 0.126949 0.193844 0.299252 0.483950
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.038848 0.056643 0.082770 0.124848 0.192689 0.300950 0.493398
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.037607 0.055284 0.081487 0.124134 0.193711 0.306200 0.509167
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.037596 0.055799 0.083082 0.128038 0.202412 0.324520 0.548763